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January 8, 1999

FSIS Docket Clerk
Docket #98-037N
Room 102 Cotton Annex Building
300 12th Street, SW
Washington, DC 20250-3700

Re: Comments on "Preliminary Pathways and Data for a Risk Assessment of E. coli

O157:H7 in Beef"

Dear Sir or Madam:

In response to Dr. Ruth Etzel's November 16, 1998 request, the Food Marketing Institute is pleased to submit the following comments on the draft report entitled, "Preliminary Pathways and Data for a Risk Assessment of E. coli O157:H7 in Beef" (hereinafter "Preliminary Pathways").

The Food Marketing Institute is a nonprofit association that conducts programs in research, education, industry relations and public affairs on behalf of its 1,500 members and their subsidiaries. Our membership includes food retailers and wholesalers, as well as their customers, in the United States and around the world. FMI's domestic member companies operate approximately 21,000 retail food stores with a combined annual sales volume of

$220 billion, which accounts for more than half of all grocery store sales in the United States. FMI's retail membership is composed of large multi-store chains, small regional firms and independent supermarkets. Our international membership includes 200 members from 60 countries.

We were specifically asked to address the following issues: (1) the scientific evidence acquired by the risk assessment team to date; (2) the existing data gaps identified by the risk assessment team; (3) the analytical framework that will be used to conduct the intended risk assessment; and (4) the scope of the analysis. In addition, we believe it is appropriate to consider the overall utility of the proposed risk assessment. As discussed more fully below, we recommend that the Agency focus its valuable resources on demonstrating the efficacy of measures to eliminate the pathogen from the food supply.

In general, we are encouraged by the efforts of the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), and particularly the Food Safety and Inspection Service (FSIS), to apply scientific principles to improve the safety of our meat and poultry food supply. Using science as the foundation to formulate better and more effective policies is a laudable goal, which is fully supported by FMI.

Moreover, the "Preliminary Pathways" document generated as a result of FSIS's efforts is, itself, a useful tool. The scientific evidence acquired by the risk assessment team and presented in "Preliminary Pathways" includes a comprehensive review of current information and numerous conclusions drawn from existing data. More importantly, the report documents the gaps in the presently available data set.

As noted above, however, our primary concern lies with the overall utility of conducting the proposed risk assessment. The application of formal risk assessment techniques to the fields of microbiology and food safety is a relatively new approach. In this case, the risk assessment analysis is further complicated by the numerous and significant gaps in the data (as identified in "Preliminary Pathways"), as well as the multitude of assumptions upon which the risk assessment must necessarily be predicated as a result of the data gaps.

Even if thsee methodological issues can be addressed, the data that will result from the proposed study are likely to be of only limited use in improving the safety of the food supply for several reasons.

First, the analysis focuses on a single food product (i.e., hamburger), rather than on the pathogen itself. As the source and infection mechanism of the pathogen are not well-understood, the more effective and useful approach would be to conduct a study to clarify the ecology of E. coli O157:H7.

Second, with respect to the Production Module, the stated purpose of the analysis is "to simulate the number of cattle presented for slaughter that are E. coli O157:H7 affected." Preliminary Pathways at 2-1. Rather than quantifying the number of cattle that might be affected, FSIS should devote its resources to assessing the risks associated with on-farm practices or to evaluating measures prior to slaughter that might be used to reduce the incidence of E. coli O157:H7 in beef. Despite the stated intention to "reflect a full range of current practices and behaviors from farm to fork," the risk assessment is virtually devoid of any on-farm assessment, such as the risk assessment reduction or avoidance techniques used by producers and their utility in reducing E. coli O157:H7.

Third, to the extent that the Preparation Module of the risk assessment is intended to generate data that enumerate and predict the number of E. coli O157:H7 illnesses that have or will occur, the study will duplicate efforts currently performed by the Foodborne Diseases Active Surveillance Network (FoodNet) and others. See Preliminary Pathways at 1-13 - 1-15. That is, the results will either confirm the data generated by FoodNet that indicate that E. coli O157:H7 is a significant cause of foodborne disease in the United States or the data will differ. In the former case, the data are redundant and, in the latter case, the significance of the conflicting data will be difficult to evaluate, particularly in view of the inherent uncertainty associated with a risk assessment based on as many unknown variables as have been identified in "Preliminary Pathways." Moreover, even if the data indicate that the risk to the general population is relatively small, the results should not alter the Agency's resolve to minimize the risk from the pathogen. These comments also apply to the Public Health Module.

In contrast, we note that the stated goal of the Slaughter Module is to determine those practices that are most likely to reduce the risk of contamination with E. coli O157:H7. Preliminary Pathways at 3-1. Along these lines, we note that the beef industry has been adopting and implementing practices that have been scientifically proven to reduce the incidence of E. coli O157:H7 in beef over the past several years. As a result, the data provided in "Preliminary Pathways" indicate that the number and percentage of illnesses attributed to ground beef has been steadily declining from a high of 55 percent in the period from 1982 to 1993 to 4 percent or 6 percent in the past two years. Accordingly, consistent with the reduction in illnesses resulting from the implementation of procedures to reduce the occurrence of the pathogen in food, we urge the Agency to adopt the approach outlined in the Slaughter Module from which data proving the efficacy of additional, practical techniques may be derived.

In conclusion, FMI supports FSIS's goal to use sound, scientific research as a basis for augmenting the safety of our food supply. However, we recommend that the Agency redirect its resources from those aspects of the risk assessment study that are based on substantial data gaps and that are intended to quantify a known problem, and instead utilize these resources to determine the sources of E. coli O157:H7 and to establish the effectiveness of controls and interventions that will reduce the pathogen before it enters the food supply.

Thank you for your consideration. We look forward to continuing to work with you on increasing the safety of our food supply and we would be pleased to discuss our comments with you in more depth.

Sincerely,


Tim Hammonds
President and Chief Executive Officer

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